However, Socialist Pedro Sanchez would be re-elected as Prime Minister if he successfully unites an array of smaller parties, including pro-Catalan independence parties. These parties backed him last June when he won a vote of confidence against the People’s Party’s government. With a general election looming, polarisation within Spain is only growing.
Spain’s Socialists have increased their lead as the largest party with 28.8 percent of the vote, equivalent to 129 seats in the 360-seat parliament, according to a poll by El Pais.
Far-right newcomer Vox has also gained support, with 10.2 percent of a vote, equivalent to 32 seats.
If they are successful, it will be the first time in nearly four decades that far-right politicians would be elected to the Spanish parliament.
The Socialists usually ally with anti-austerity Podemos, who have around 13.2 percent of the vote, but are set to lose 38 seats in Parliament from the 2016 election.
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Meanwhile, Vox could reach out to the conservative People’s Party on 17.8 percent and the centre-right Ciudadanos on 14.1 percent.
The People’s Party are set to win only 75 seats, its worst result ever.
This right-wing coalition would get 44.4 percent of the votes, equivalent to 156 seats, 20 short of the 176 needed for an overall majority.
Meanwhile, a two-party left-wing coalition would hold 162 seats, also below the threshold necessary.
This could make Catalan independence parties kingmakers in the scramble for a majority government.
El Pais’ poll was conducted by 40dp with 2,000 respondents between April 15 and 18.
It has a margin of error of 2.24 percentage points.
The election is take place in a week’s time.