EU believes there’s an 80% chance BoJo will lead Britain out with No Deal

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BRUSSELS now believes there is an 80 per cent chance Boris Johnson will lead Britain out with No Deal on October 31 amid growing alarm over his campaign pledges.

Eurocrats are bracing for an ugly split after concluding the Tory leadership contender has boxed himself in so tightly an “accident” is almost inevitable.

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Brussels are confident that Boris Johnson will lead Britain out of the EU with a No Deal[/caption]

They said member states may even have considered an unprecedented last minute offer on the backstop had he not ruled out any realistic compromise.

And they warned if there is No Deal the bloc will attach harsher conditions to any standstill trade agreement than those contained in the backstop.

A senior EU official questioned whether Mr Johnson is serious about getting a deal or his claim that crashing out is a “one in a million” chance.

They told The Sun: “We’re a bit puzzled. He’s closed a lot of doors. He’s closing down each and every possibility.

‘CLOSED DOORS’

“Even those whereby you could think OK, the Europeans haven’t accepted this, may not accept it, but you never know before the abyss.

“Even those things he is closing down, which makes it really hard to create an opening.”

They pointed out Mr Johnson has said a backstop time-limit, unilateral exit clause or more legal pledges on Alternative Arrangements wouldn’t be enough.

The official said: “So he has ruled out a lot of things. Even the things that were not on offer he has ruled them out, so what’s left?”

‘DO OR DIE’

Brussels fears his campaign rhetoric and pledges on the backstop and leaving on October 31 “do or die” have made a compromise solution near impossible.

They are now bracing for ill-tempered talks with the new PM over the summer – and having to “shoot down” ideas already tested and discarded by Mrs May.

Member States now expect an EU Council summit on October 17 to become all about crisis planning for a crash out at the end of the month.

Eurocrats warned any attempt from the next PM to take talks to the wire and try to squeeze a compromise directly from leaders at the gathering will fail.

A senior diplomatic source said: “This isn’t something you invent on a small piece of paper on the corner of a table at 3am.


“If we’re in a deal making mood this will have to be presented and discussed way ahead.”

Officials also dismissed Mr Johnson’s bid to seek a tariff and quota free “standstill” trading arrangement with the EU in the event on No Deal.

Instead, they said the new PM would have to negotiate similar market access terms to those contained in the backstop, only on a “worse basis”.

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