- Stick with past Grade 1 winners
- A course win is a big plus
- A distance win or further is a must
- Second-season chasers do well
WE’LL cross out horses that haven’t enjoyed previous success at Cheltenham, although most of the field have won here before.
But Monalee, Terrefort, Charbel, Coney Island and Sub Lieutenant can’t boast a “C” on their formline.
Aso, Terrefort and The Storyteller are too long in the betting to be winning a usual Ryanair Chase.
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Frodon has not yet won a Grade 1 race so falls by the wayside, while only one of the past eight winners were as low in the official ratings as last year’s hero Balko Des Flos.
Un De Sceaux won this in 2017 but has too many miles on the clock now with 19 chase runs. Eight of the past 10 winners of this had race over fences no more than 11 times.
The same comment applies about Road To Respect who has had 15 starts in this sphere.
That leaves us with FOOTPAD who ticks another box in being a second-season chaser.
Ryanair Chase trends tip
FOOTPAD (Click here to compare the best prices and place your bet)